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Best bets for Sunday, October 25, 2026

Published October 24, 2026

Sunday's board is entirely NFL, and every one of our top 10 picks is the same kind of bet: a player prop on the under at -110. That deserves some caution. A list that leans all one way could mean the market is overrating star players' stat lines, or it could mean our model has a tilt. Also, the DraftKings price on every pick is an assumed standard price, not a confirmed quote, so check the real line before taking anything here at face value. Expected profit runs from +$8.68 down to +$4.47 per $100. That's a long-run average over many bets like these, not a promise for this Sunday. Eight of the ten games kick off at 1:00 PM ET. We had no confirmed injury or lineup news when we wrote this, so check the inactive lists before kickoff.

Jonathan Taylor under 71.5 rushing yards

This bet wins if Taylor finishes with 71 rushing yards or fewer. It's listed at -110 at DraftKings (assumed price), and 236 look-alike past games back it, for an expected profit of +$8.68 per $100, the best on the board. Why the line might be a bit high: well-known running backs get a lot of over bets from fans, and sportsbooks can nudge a line upward to match that demand. If that happened here, the under is the side getting the better price.

Garrett Wilson under 5.5 receptions

You need Wilson to catch five passes or fewer. The price is -110 at DraftKings (assumed), with an expected profit of +$7.61 per $100. Its 554 look-alike games are the most of any pick on the list, so this is the estimate we trust most. With a line of 5.5, there can't be a tie: a sixth catch loses the bet, and five wins it. Books often set top receivers' catch lines at what they do on a good day, and our look-alike games suggest they fall short of that more often than the price implies.

Tetairoa McMillan under 5.5 receptions

This is another five-catches-or-fewer bet, at -110 at DraftKings (assumed), backed by 474 look-alike games for +$7.00 per $100. His Carolina teammate Jalen Coker sits right behind him at No. 4 with the same line, the same price, the same 474 games and the same +$7.00. That match is worth noticing. Betting both doesn't spread your risk across two separate bets, because the same game decides both. If Carolina ends up throwing a lot, both bets probably lose together.

The rest of the list is more of the same. Justin Jefferson under 5.5 receptions comes in at +$6.74 (449 games). Malik Nabers under 70.5 receiving yards shows +$5.31, but it rests on only 150 games, the smallest sample on the board. Ja'Marr Chase under 83.5 receiving yards is +$5.29 (248), and Bucky Irving under 65.5 rushing yards is +$5.02 (298). Later in the day, Matthew Golden under 5.5 receptions goes at 4:25 PM ET (+$4.58, 382 games), and Kenneth Walker III under 85.5 rushing yards closes the night at 8:20 PM ET (+$4.47, 168 games). Every one of these is a modest edge at an assumed price, and one big game from any of these players can wipe it out.

The top 10 bets on our NFL board for Sunday, October 25, 2026, ranked by expected profit per $100 after the sportsbook's cut. Each one is priced from how look-alike past games turned out (similar line, home or away, rest), at the best price we found across up to 11 sportsbooks.

Profit per $100 is the expected long-run average, not a promise: even the best edges lose often. Our full track record shows how the method has done over eight NFL seasons.